Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.101440 0.120274 0.141360 0.166677 0.196212 0.229537 0.269948
2025-02-09 0.072191 0.096385 0.126548 0.166745 0.218722 0.283458 0.369972
2025-02-16 0.055966 0.082136 0.117658 0.169018 0.240927 0.337501 0.476397
2025-02-23 0.046585 0.073984 0.113890 0.175587 0.267747 0.399277 0.599893
2025-03-02 0.037052 0.063198 0.103774 0.170374 0.275726 0.434333 0.688978
2025-03-09 0.031076 0.056505 0.098259 0.170519 0.290722 0.480320 0.798561
2025-03-16 0.025975 0.050140 0.091964 0.167974 0.300405 0.518375 0.899333
2025-03-23 0.022949 0.046771 0.090009 0.172130 0.321248 0.576153 1.037893
2025-03-30 0.019697 0.042325 0.085336 0.170572 0.331615 0.617036 1.151948
2025-04-06 0.016728 0.037845 0.079814 0.166459 0.336513 0.648469 1.252307
2025-04-13 0.014125 0.033600 0.074023 0.160848 0.337603 0.672731 1.341729
2025-04-20 0.012781 0.031811 0.072883 0.164276 0.356494 0.731755 1.501541
2025-04-27 0.011453 0.029854 0.071171 0.166461 0.373556 0.789896 1.667507
2025-05-04 0.010171 0.027760 0.068838 0.166991 0.387309 0.843153 1.829935
2025-05-11 0.009184 0.026195 0.067444 0.169377 0.405274 0.906761 2.019812
2025-05-18 0.008566 0.025459 0.067870 0.175986 0.433325 0.994166 2.267725
2025-05-25 0.007385 0.022963 0.063598 0.170768 0.433787 1.022683 2.393433
2025-06-01 0.006626 0.021486 0.061642 0.170914 0.446729 1.079682 2.586544
2025-06-08 0.005846 0.019779 0.058796 0.168364 0.452807 1.121812 2.750608
2025-06-15 0.005427 0.019078 0.058544 0.172529 0.475935 1.205275 3.016533
2025-06-22 0.004845 0.017737 0.056287 0.170967 0.484337 1.255003 3.208891
2025-06-29 0.004251 0.016223 0.053272 0.166846 0.485537 1.287524 3.363571
2025-07-06 0.003690 0.014685 0.049914 0.161222 0.481980 1.307942 3.490881